Over the years, with the rapid expansion of Industry 4.0, the development of industrial automation has also ushered in a new step. The reducer is one of the basic equipment industries in China. The downstream applications include lifting and transportation, cement and building materials, heavy mines, and aeronautical applications. Robots, etc. Due to the strength of the downstream market, especially the booming development of the robot industry, the future development prospects of the gearbox industry continue to improve. As an indispensable transmission equipment in modern construction, the reducer is widely used in various fields of the national economy. For the robot industry, the reducer is a vital application in the industry chain. Thanks to the rise of the robot industry, the development of the robot reducer industry is expected to enter the fast lane.
The reducer is a relatively core functional component in industrial robots, accounting for 33% to 38% of the total robot manufacturing cost. With the growth of industrial robot sales, the actual demand for robot reducers will usher in a rapid rise.
In general, general industrial robots require 4-6 reducers, mainly RV reducers, and fewer harmonic reducers. Even with a relatively small number of four reducers, the market size is still impressive. What's more, the current industrial robot field is in the ascendant, sales are climbing, and the potential demand for reducers is huge.
The data shows that in 2015, the demand for speed reducers for industrial robots was 403,300 units, and the demand scale reached 4.477 billion yuan. According to the growth of industrial robot sales and possession, it is estimated that by 2025, the demand for industrial robot reducers will reach 1.05 million units, and the demand scale will be around 7.7 billion yuan.
However, as technology improves, industrial robots will tend to be smaller, and the demand for reducers will decline. At the same time, the demand structure of the robot reducer will change, and the proportion of the harmonic reducer is expected to increase.
Overall, the future of the robot reducer industry is promising, and the potential demand is huge. To this end, domestic manufacturers are increasing their efforts, including Qinchuan machine tools, double-loop transmission, Dazu laser and other listed companies, in the road to localization of reducers to catch up.
Looking at the world, the robot reducer market is monopolized by Japanese companies, and other China's strength is limited. According to statistics, Japan’s Sumitomo, Nabtesco and Hamernaco account for more than 80% of the global market share and are in a large monopoly position.
Although China's robot reducer manufacturers have increased their investment in recent years, there is still a long way to go from mass production. In the future, it may be driven by domestic robotics companies to break the market monopoly of Japanese companies. Driven by industrial robots, China's robot reducer industry is expected to usher in rapid development, and market demand is constantly being released. However, for domestic enterprises, the development of localization still has a long way to go. In the future, it can be appropriately tilted to the harmonic reducer to achieve the success of the latecomers.